Two Mechanisms of Decadence

Epistemic status: Obviously speculative sociology. Probably pretty obvious to some but I’m just trying to crystallize these ideas from my mind onto paper. [Read More]

Intellectual Progress in 2025

It is now 2026 and we are half way through the decade of the 2020s. If we think back to the halcyon days of January 2020 certainly a lot has happened, especially in AI1. The first half of the decade has essentially been the discovery and then incredible exploitation of... [Read More]

The Biosingularity Alignment Problem Seems Harder than AI Alignment

One alternative to the AI-driven singularity that is sometimes proposed is effectively the biosingularity, specifically focused on human intelligence augmentation. The idea here is that we first create what is effectively a successor species of highly enhanced humans and then these transhumans are better placed to solve the alignment problem.... [Read More]

Addendum to Fertility, Inheritance, and the Concentration of Wealth

Recently I was having a conversation about where are the missing billionaires, a book which questions why there are so few descendants of historical magnates with fortunes equal or comparable to their founders. I.e. why the fortunes of e.g. Rockefeller descendants do not match that of the original Rockefeller (although... [Read More]