Note: I was inspired to write this after discussions with Anil Seth and Jonas Mago on AI consciousness, where, of course, I mostly disagreed with them. As with everything on consciousness, the empirical evidence is extremely sparse so it is mostly a game of conflicting intuitions. Strong opinions lightly held,...
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Millennials as the Forever Generation
Epistemic status: Obviously speculative, but interesting.
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The Limit of Prediction is not Omniscience
Epistemic status: Mostly re-litigating old debates, I believe. Hopefully still somewhat interesting. This is just a short post for a short note which took me a worrying length of time to realize.
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Most Algorithmic Progress is Data Progress
Epistemic Status: Fairly sure about this from experience but could be missing crucial considerations. I don’t present any super detailed evidence here so it is theoretically just vibes.
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Do We Want Obedience or Alignment?
One question which I have occasionally pondered is: assuming that we actually succeed at some kind of robust alignment of AGI, what is the alignment target we should focus on? In general, this question splits into two basic camps. The first is obedience and corrigibility: the AI system should execute...
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