Algorithmic Progress is not Exogenous

Sometimes I have discussions about AI slowdowns and pauses where an argument against the pause is that a pause cannot slow things down in the long run since, even if we audit all large concentrations of compute, eventually algorithmic progress will lead to superintelligent AI being able to be trained... [Read More]

Many Benefits Of AGI Could Still Be Realized In A Pause

Often I hear justifications for continuing the AI race which are, roughly, that even if there are dangers, there are also massive technological benefits waiting if we race ahead and successfully align AGI. For instance, these could include massively improved medical care such as treatments for cancer, aging etc, as... [Read More]