The other day I was rereading my Thermopylae poem and got to thinking seriously about the information dynamics of history and how these might evolve in the limit. It turns out we can go quite far in this thinking from some very basic premises and it relates somewhat deeply with...
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Algorithmic Progress is not Exogenous
Sometimes I have discussions about AI slowdowns and pauses where an argument against the pause is that a pause cannot slow things down in the long run since, even if we audit all large concentrations of compute, eventually algorithmic progress will lead to superintelligent AI being able to be trained...
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Can Individuality Survive in the Limit?
Epistemic Status: Wildly speculative but having fun with it
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Many Benefits Of AGI Could Still Be Realized In A Pause
Often I hear justifications for continuing the AI race which are, roughly, that even if there are dangers, there are also massive technological benefits waiting if we race ahead and successfully align AGI. For instance, these could include massively improved medical care such as treatments for cancer, aging etc, as...
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Math Capabilities could be Differentially Good for Alignment
Epistemic Status: Short note of what are basically shower thoughts.
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